Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USMoline
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Moline weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Moline's high today between 88° and 92°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 85°, with a 1% chance of rain.

91°74°
85°68°
83°63°
90°64°
85°70°
81°65°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Partly cloudy
Today 92°·Low 74°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Mostly clear
Today 92°·Low 75°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Thunderstorm
Today 88°·Low 74°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Moline and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
91° 74°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
85° 68°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
83° 63°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
90° 64°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
85° 70°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 65°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
86° 61°
±12°
Sat
Drizzle
87° 65°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
79° 66°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
72° 58°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
72° 55°
±14°
Wed
Mostly clear
73° 51°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 54°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
71° 57°
models agree

Moline, IL is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Moline right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Moline climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
20°
Feb
45°
25°
Mar
50°
33°
Apr
62°
42°
May
76°
54°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
66°
49°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Moline?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F94±1.8 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°88° to 92°±66%5% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°84° to 86°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°83° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°90° to 91°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±9°79° to 88°±26%50% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moline

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moline today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Moline today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moline today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Moline and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moline?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moline (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moline?
June is typically the warmest month in Moline, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Moline get?
The coldest month in Moline is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Moline get?
Moline sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather