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CheckWeather USRichmond
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Richmond weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Richmond's high today between 70° and 77°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 74°, with a 1% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

74°55°
74°56°
81°55°
84°61°
92°67°
86°68°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±12°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±15°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 55°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Richmond and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
74° 55°
±7°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
74° 56°
±8°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 55°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
84° 61°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
92° 67°
±15°
Thu
Mostly clear
86° 68°
±13°
Fri
Partly cloudy
73° 62°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
71° 60°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
70° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
72° 60°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
74° 58°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 58°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 58°
±7°
Fri
Clear
77° 57°
models agree

Richmond, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 33 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Richmond right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Richmond climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
45°
Feb
56°
44°
Mar
57°
46°
Apr
64°
47°
May
67°
51°
Jun
72°
54°
Jul
77°
55°
Aug
77°
57°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
76°
55°
Nov
63°
49°
Dec
58°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
75±2.5°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
73
/100rank #2
35±6.5°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°70° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±8°69° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±12°75° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±11°77° to 88°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±15°82° to 97°±1%5% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Richmond today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Richmond today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Richmond and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Richmond (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Richmond get?
The coldest month in Richmond is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Richmond get?
Richmond sees roughly 33 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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