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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Richmond weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Richmond's high today between 69° and 73°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°52°
68°51°
65°54°
64°52°
64°52°
63°52°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
53°
Clear
Feels 50° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
51°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 67%
EuropeanECMWF
54°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Richmond: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 53° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 51° Clear · European (ECMWF): 54° Clear.

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Richmond weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Richmond weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Richmond swings 32°F across the year, from 75°F highs in July to 43°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 25 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 60 days a year at 77°F or above, 16 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 56 days.

Warmest month
July
75°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
December
25 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
110,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
60 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
56 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Richmond’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Richmond and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
71° 52°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
68° 51°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
65° 54°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
64° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
63° 52°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
61° 52°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
65° 51°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
67° 53°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
65° 54°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 57°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
67° 54°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
67° 57°
±8°

Richmond, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 25 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Richmond right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Richmond climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
54°
43°
Feb
57°
45°
Mar
59°
48°
Apr
64°
47°
May
67°
51°
Jun
72°
54°
Jul
75°
53°
Aug
75°
55°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
73°
52°
Nov
62°
48°
Dec
55°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Richmond has changed since 1995

Richmond sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Francisco. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Francisco page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F96±1.3 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
80
/100rank #2
56±4.4°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°69° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°67° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°63° to 69°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±1°63° to 65°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°63° to 65°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Richmond's high today between 69° and 73°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Richmond today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Richmond on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Richmond (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Richmond get?
The coldest month in Richmond is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Richmond get?
Richmond sees roughly 25 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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