Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 5°F
Racine weather
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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model put Racine's high today between 63° and 68°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 10% chance of rain.
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Racine weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Racine swings 59°F across the year, from 78°F highs in July to 19°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 63 days a year at 77°F or above, 13 of them at 86°F or above, 115 frost nights, and rain on 121 days.
Warmest month
July
78°F average high
Coldest month
January
19°F average low
Wettest month
August
38 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
78,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
63 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
115 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
121 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Racine’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Racine and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Racine hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Racine 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
64°50°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71°52°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
59°52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
59°51°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
67°54°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
69°53°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
65°51°
±12°
Sat
Cloudy
66°55°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
64°53°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
59°44°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
47°41°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
52°40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
56°40°
±11°
Racine, Wisconsin (WI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 19°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Racine right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
35°
19°
Mar
41°
27°
Apr
53°
36°
May
62°
44°
Jun
73°
56°
Jul
78°
63°
Aug
77°
63°
Sep
71°
57°
Oct
58°
44°
Nov
45°
33°
Dec
35°
24°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Racine's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.3°F
Around Racine, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +1.3°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 77°F
7 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
6 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >77°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.9°F
+5
+24
−0%
1996
−3.9°F
−16
+29
+1%
1997
−2.2°F
−13
+10
+1%
1998
+2.8°F
+11
−31
−5%
1999
+1.2°F
−1
−17
+1%
2000
−0.1°F
−14
−1
+3%
2001
+0.3°F
−3
−7
−0%
2002
+0.3°F
+10
−9
+3%
2003
−2.1°F
−11
+12
−0%
2004
−0.1°F
−17
−8
+3%
2005
+1.4°F
+17
+0
−2%
2006
+1.2°F
+3
−27
+1%
2007
+0.5°F
+3
+13
+3%
2008
−1.5°F
−12
+23
+5%
2009
−1.9°F
−16
+7
−0%
2010
+1.4°F
+17
+1
−2%
2011
−0.3°F
+2
+2
+1%
2012
+3.0°F
+26
−29
−2%
2013
−1.3°F
−5
+23
+1%
2014
−4.2°F
−19
+41
−2%
2015
−1.0°F
−4
+5
−2%
2016
+1.7°F
+14
+1
−2%
2017
+0.6°F
−8
−7
−0%
2018
−0.6°F
+7
+15
−3%
2019
−1.9°F
−5
+13
−2%
2020
+0.8°F
+13
−17
−0%
2021
+2.3°F
+11
−18
−3%
2022
−0.3°F
−5
+8
+5%
2023
+2.1°F
−1
−30
−3%
2024
+3.5°F
+1
−35
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Racine, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Racine?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F
96±1.3 mph
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±5°63° to 68°
±2%5% to 7% chance
Tomorrow
±6°67° to 74°
±7%3% to 10% chance
Mon
±1°59° to 60°
±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue
±3°57° to 60°
±29%2% to 31% chance
Wed
±6°64° to 70°
±13%9% to 22% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Racine
today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
10h 39m
Common questions
What's the weather in Racine today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Racine's high today between 63° and 68°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Racine today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Racine on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 10%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 7%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Racine?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Racine (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Racine?
July is typically the warmest month in Racine, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Racine get?
The coldest month in Racine is January, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Racine get?
Racine sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Racine getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Racine, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 1.3°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
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