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Oak Creek weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
50°
Mainly clear
Feels 46° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
46°
Partly cloudy
Feels 42° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Overcast
Feels 48° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 78%

Latest for Oak Creek: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 50° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 46° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 51° Overcast.

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Oak Creek weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Oak Creek…

Oak Creek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Oak Creek swings 58°F across the year, from 76°F highs in July to 18°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 53 days a year at 77°F or above, 11 of them at 86°F or above, 112 frost nights, and rain on 121 days.

Warmest month
July
76°F average high
Coldest month
January
18°F average low
Wettest month
August
37 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
35,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
53 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
112 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
121 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Oak Creek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oak Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oak Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oak Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Oak Creek, Wisconsin (WI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 76°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oak Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oak Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
18°
Feb
33°
18°
Mar
40°
28°
Apr
52°
37°
May
60°
45°
Jun
73°
58°
Jul
76°
64°
Aug
75°
64°
Sep
68°
57°
Oct
58°
45°
Nov
45°
34°
Dec
32°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Oak Creek has changed since 1995

Oak Creek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Milwaukee. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Milwaukee page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Oak Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F92±2.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.9 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Oak Creek today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oak Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oak Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oak Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oak Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oak Creek (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oak Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Oak Creek, with average highs around 76°F.
How cold does Oak Creek get?
The coldest month in Oak Creek is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Oak Creek get?
Oak Creek sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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