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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Plano weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Plano today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain.

83°57°
81°60°
79°61°
79°63°
82°63°
82°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
53°
Clear
Feels 51° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 60%

Latest for Plano: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 59° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 53° Clear · European (ECMWF): 63° Clear.

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Plano weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Plano weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Plano swings 56°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 36°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 189 days a year at 77°F or above, 116 of them at 86°F or above, 20 frost nights, and rain on 112 days.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
36°F average low
Wettest month
May
43 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
284,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
189 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
20 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
112 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Plano’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Plano and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Plano hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Plano 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 63°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
82° 66°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
79° 66°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 66°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
81° 67°
±9°
Mon
Light rain
79° 61°
±10°
Tue
Clear
73° 57°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 57°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 57°
±10°

Plano, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Plano right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Plano climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
54°
36°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
66°
47°
Apr
73°
55°
May
81°
64°
Jun
88°
71°
Jul
92°
74°
Aug
92°
73°
Sep
86°
67°
Oct
76°
57°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
38°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Plano has changed since 1995

Plano sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dallas. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dallas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Plano?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F93±2.1 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±1°78° to 80°±13%3% to 16% chance
Wed±1°82° to 83°±4%4% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Plano

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
11h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Plano today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Plano today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Plano today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Plano on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Plano?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Plano (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Plano?
July is typically the warmest month in Plano, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Plano get?
The coldest month in Plano is January, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does Plano get?
Plano sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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