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CheckWeather USPflugerville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Pflugerville weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Pflugerville today. Tomorrow looks showers around 93°, with a 69% chance of rain.

96°75°
93°78°
94°76°
98°78°
98°77°
99°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 75°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 75°·Rain 27%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pflugerville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
96° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
93° 78°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
94° 76°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
98° 78°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
98° 77°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
99° 77°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 78°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
100° 78°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 78°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 77°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 75°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 73°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 71°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
95° 72°
models agree

Pflugerville, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pflugerville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pflugerville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
42°
Feb
67°
48°
Mar
74°
55°
Apr
77°
59°
May
83°
68°
Jun
92°
74°
Jul
95°
76°
Aug
99°
78°
Sep
92°
73°
Oct
84°
64°
Nov
71°
53°
Dec
66°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Pflugerville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°±25%2% to 27% chance
Tomorrow±7°89° to 96°±48%21% to 69% chance
Mon±6°91° to 96°±20%3% to 23% chance
Tue±2°97° to 99°±19%3% to 22% chance
Wed±4°96° to 100°±22%5% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pflugerville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pflugerville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Pflugerville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Pflugerville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Pflugerville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pflugerville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pflugerville (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pflugerville?
August is typically the warmest month in Pflugerville, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Pflugerville get?
The coldest month in Pflugerville is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Pflugerville get?
Pflugerville sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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