Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USAustin
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Austin weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Austin today. Tomorrow looks showers around 95°, with a 65% chance of rain.

98°76°
95°79°
96°78°
100°80°
100°79°
100°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 78°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Partly cloudy
Today 97°·Low 75°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Austin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
95° 79°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 78°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 79°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
100° 79°
models agree
Fri
Clear
101° 79°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
101° 80°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
100° 80°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 79°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 77°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 75°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
93° 75°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
95° 73°
models agree

Austin, TX. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Austin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Austin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Austin weather by month

what to expect in Austin through the year

Here is Austin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Austin by season.

Jan
61°
42°
Mild
Feb
68°
48°
Mild
Mar
75°
55°
Warm
Apr
78°
60°
Warm
May
85°
68°
Hot
Wettest
Jun
93°
74°
Hot
Jul
96°
77°
Hot
Aug
100°
79°
Hot
Sep
93°
74°
Hot
Oct
85°
65°
Hot
Nov
72°
53°
Warm
Dec
67°
48°
Mild

What Austin's weather is like through the year

Austin runs from warm summers, with August highs near 100°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 42°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Austin sees roughly 44 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Austin

The most comfortable time to visit Austin is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Austin?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F95±1.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Austin, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°97° to 100°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±5°92° to 97°±47%18% to 65% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±12%4% to 16% chance
Tue±2°99° to 101°±25%4% to 29% chance
Wed±3°98° to 101°±15%5% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Austin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Austin today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Austin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Austin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Austin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Austin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Austin (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Austin?
August is typically the warmest month in Austin, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Austin get?
The coldest month in Austin is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Austin get?
Austin sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Austin?
The most comfortable time to visit Austin is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Austin?
Rarely - Austin very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More US weather