Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Austin today. Tomorrow looks showers around 95°, with a 65% chance of rain.
Austin, TX. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Austin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Austin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Here is Austin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Austin by season.
Austin runs from warm summers, with August highs near 100°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 42°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Austin sees roughly 44 inches of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Austin is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Austin, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.