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CheckWeather USPerth Amboy
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Perth Amboy weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Perth Amboy today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 76°, with a 62% chance of rain.

80°69°
76°65°
79°61°
83°62°
87°67°
85°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 69°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 69°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Perth Amboy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
80° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
76° 65°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 62°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
87° 67°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
85° 72°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 67°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 65°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
84° 68°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
85° 70°
±16°
Tue
Drizzle
81° 67°
±25°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 64°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
models agree
Fri
Showers
71° 61°
±7°

Perth Amboy is a town of about 53,000 people in NJ, sitting at 40.5°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Perth Amboy with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include South Amboy, Fords, Laurence Harbor.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Perth Amboy?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±1.9 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°79° to 83°±9%5% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±45%17% to 62% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±4%1% to 5% chance
Tue±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°85° to 89°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Perth Amboy

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Perth Amboy today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Perth Amboy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Perth Amboy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Perth Amboy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Perth Amboy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Perth Amboy (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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