Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USPalmdale
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Palmdale weather

Loading live data…

Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Palmdale's high today between 85° and 90°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 77°, with a 96% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

88°61°
77°68°
88°66°
91°71°
95°76°
99°79°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Clear
Today 85°·Low 64°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 62°·Rain 2%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palmdale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
88° 61°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
77° 68°
±10°
Mon
Clear
88° 66°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
91° 71°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 76°
±6°
Thu
Clear
99° 79°
±8°
Fri
Clear
94° 76°
models agree
Sat
Clear
88° 71°
±5°
Sun
Clear
90° 68°
±5°
Mon
Clear
92° 70°
±8°
Tue
Clear
92° 71°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 75°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 72°
±6°
Fri
Clear
90° 70°
±9°

Palmdale, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 38°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palmdale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palmdale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
39°
Feb
54°
38°
Mar
56°
41°
Apr
70°
48°
May
76°
53°
Jun
84°
60°
Jul
98°
72°
Aug
92°
67°
Sep
87°
63°
Oct
80°
58°
Nov
63°
44°
Dec
61°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palmdale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F87±4.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F94±2.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°85° to 90°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±10°73° to 83°±67%29% to 96% chance
Mon±5°86° to 91°±9%3% to 12% chance
Tue±6°88° to 95°±4%8% to 12% chance
Wed±6°92° to 99°±32%7% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palmdale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palmdale today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palmdale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palmdale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palmdale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palmdale?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Palmdale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palmdale?
July is typically the warmest month in Palmdale, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Palmdale get?
The coldest month in Palmdale is February, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Palmdale get?
Palmdale sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather