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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Oklahoma City (OKC) weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Oklahoma City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

79°59°
78°60°
75°59°
74°60°
78°61°
78°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Oklahoma City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Oklahoma City…

Oklahoma City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Oklahoma City swings 64°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 167 days a year at 77°F or above, 102 of them at 86°F or above, 47 frost nights, and rain on 89 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
June
36 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and October
Residents
681,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
167 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
47 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
89 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Oklahoma City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oklahoma City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oklahoma City in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Oklahoma City, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Where are you going?

Oklahoma City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oklahoma City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
75° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
74° 60°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
71° 61°
±13°
Sat
Rain
74° 61°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 60°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 54°
±9°
Tue
Clear
71° 54°
±6°
Wed
Clear
71° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 52°
±9°

Oklahoma City, Oklahoma (OK). Often shortened to OKC. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oklahoma City right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Oklahoma City's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oklahoma City weather by month

what to expect in Oklahoma City through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Oklahoma City's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Oklahoma City by season.

Jan
47°
29°
Cool
Feb
53°
33°
Cool
Mar
62°
42°
Mild
Apr
71°
51°
Mild
May
79°
61°
Warm
Jun
88°
69°
Hot
Wettest
Jul
93°
74°
Hot
Aug
91°
71°
Hot
Sep
83°
63°
Warm
Oct
72°
53°
Warm
Nov
58°
41°
Mild
Dec
48°
32°
Cool

What Oklahoma City's weather is like through the year

Oklahoma City runs from warm summers, with July highs near 93°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 64°F across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Oklahoma City sees roughly 36 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 1 month (January), so Oklahoma City sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Oklahoma City

The most comfortable time to visit Oklahoma City is usually March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

How Oklahoma City's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.1°F

Around Oklahoma City, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +1.1°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2006: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2007: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2012: +3.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2020: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2024: +3.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

8 fewer days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −8 vs the 30-year average1996: −7 vs the 30-year average1997: −9 vs the 30-year average1998: +41 vs the 30-year average1999: −3 vs the 30-year average2000: +26 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: +10 vs the 30-year average2004: −20 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: +23 vs the 30-year average2007: −36 vs the 30-year average2008: −18 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: −0 vs the 30-year average2011: +57 vs the 30-year average2012: +24 vs the 30-year average2013: −12 vs the 30-year average2014: +8 vs the 30-year average2015: −30 vs the 30-year average2016: −18 vs the 30-year average2017: −6 vs the 30-year average2018: −6 vs the 30-year average2019: −23 vs the 30-year average2020: −14 vs the 30-year average2021: −11 vs the 30-year average2022: +30 vs the 30-year average2023: +12 vs the 30-year average2024: +14 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

10 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0 vs the 30-year average1996: +18 vs the 30-year average1997: +14 vs the 30-year average1998: −11 vs the 30-year average1999: −13 vs the 30-year average2000: +13 vs the 30-year average2001: −0 vs the 30-year average2002: +5 vs the 30-year average2003: +9 vs the 30-year average2004: −7 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: −18 vs the 30-year average2007: +14 vs the 30-year average2008: +19 vs the 30-year average2009: +12 vs the 30-year average2010: +9 vs the 30-year average2011: +2 vs the 30-year average2012: −16 vs the 30-year average2013: +21 vs the 30-year average2014: +12 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −9 vs the 30-year average2017: −25 vs the 30-year average2018: +11 vs the 30-year average2019: +6 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −17 vs the 30-year average2022: +11 vs the 30-year average2023: −11 vs the 30-year average2024: −26 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: −3% vs the 30-year average2006: +3% vs the 30-year average2007: −5% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +5% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +7% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +5% vs the 30-year average2015: −5% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −8% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.9°F−8−0−1%
1996−1.9°F−7+18+5%
1997−2.1°F−9+14−3%
1998+1.7°F+41−11+1%
1999+0.5°F−3−13+3%
2000−0.1°F+26+13+3%
2001+0.3°F+5−0−1%
2002−1.3°F−4+5−1%
2003−0.1°F+10+9−1%
2004−0.4°F−20−7+1%
2005+0.3°F−8−12−3%
2006+2.4°F+23−18+3%
2007−1.9°F−36+14−5%
2008−1.7°F−18+19+5%
2009−1.3°F−4+12+5%
2010−0.4°F−0+9+1%
2011+2.3°F+57+2+7%
2012+3.2°F+24−16+3%
2013−2.1°F−12+21+1%
2014−1.0°F+8+12+5%
2015−0.4°F−30−3−5%
2016+1.4°F−18−9−1%
2017+1.2°F−6−25+1%
2018−0.6°F−6+11−1%
2019−1.5°F−23+6−1%
2020−0.3°F−14−7−1%
2021+0.3°F−11−17−1%
2022+1.0°F+30+11+3%
2023+1.7°F+12−11−8%
2024+3.2°F+14−26−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Oklahoma City, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Oklahoma City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F99±0.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F94±1.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Oklahoma City, scoring 99/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 70. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°77° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°75° to 75°±12%3% to 15% chance
Tue±5°71° to 76°±7%20% to 27% chance
Wed±2°78° to 80°±9%5% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oklahoma City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
10h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oklahoma City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Oklahoma City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Oklahoma City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Oklahoma City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oklahoma City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oklahoma City (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oklahoma City?
July is typically the warmest month in Oklahoma City, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Oklahoma City get?
The coldest month in Oklahoma City is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Oklahoma City get?
Oklahoma City sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Oklahoma City?
The most comfortable time to visit Oklahoma City is usually March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Oklahoma City?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 1 month (January) in Oklahoma City, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Oklahoma City getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Oklahoma City, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 1.1°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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