Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Oklahoma City today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 100°, with a 29% chance of rain.
Oklahoma City, OK. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oklahoma City right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Oklahoma City's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Here is Oklahoma City's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Oklahoma City by season.
Oklahoma City runs from warm summers, with August highs near 95°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 30°F (a swing of about 65°F across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Oklahoma City sees roughly 34 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 1 month (January), so Oklahoma City sees regular winter snowfall.
The most comfortable time to visit Oklahoma City is usually March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Oklahoma City, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.