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CheckWeather USOklahoma City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Oklahoma City weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Oklahoma City today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 100°, with a 29% chance of rain.

100°79°
100°81°
99°81°
102°81°
103°82°
94°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Clear
Today 99°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Mostly clear
Today 101°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 80°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oklahoma City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
100° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
100° 81°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
99° 81°
models agree
Tue
Clear
102° 81°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
103° 82°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 77°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
99° 75°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
101° 80°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 66°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 66°
±12°
Wed
Clear
86° 65°
±16°
Thu
Clear
89° 67°
±12°
Fri
Clear
93° 69°
±8°

Oklahoma City, OK. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oklahoma City right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Oklahoma City's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oklahoma City weather by month

what to expect in Oklahoma City through the year

Here is Oklahoma City's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Oklahoma City by season.

Jan
48°
30°
Cool
Feb
58°
38°
Mild
Mar
64°
44°
Mild
Apr
72°
52°
Warm
May
80°
62°
Warm
Jun
90°
71°
Hot
Jul
93°
74°
Hot
Aug
95°
75°
Hot
Sep
87°
67°
Hot
Oct
77°
58°
Warm
Nov
62°
45°
Mild
Wettest
Dec
54°
38°
Cool

What Oklahoma City's weather is like through the year

Oklahoma City runs from warm summers, with August highs near 95°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 30°F (a swing of about 65°F across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Oklahoma City sees roughly 34 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 1 month (January), so Oklahoma City sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Oklahoma City

The most comfortable time to visit Oklahoma City is usually March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Oklahoma City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F99±0.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Oklahoma City, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°99° to 101°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°99° to 100°±24%5% to 29% chance
Mon±3°98° to 101°±7%1% to 8% chance
Tue±5°99° to 105°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°99° to 107°±5%3% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oklahoma City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oklahoma City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oklahoma City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oklahoma City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oklahoma City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oklahoma City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oklahoma City (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oklahoma City?
August is typically the warmest month in Oklahoma City, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Oklahoma City get?
The coldest month in Oklahoma City is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Oklahoma City get?
Oklahoma City sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Oklahoma City?
The most comfortable time to visit Oklahoma City is usually March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Oklahoma City?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 1 month (January) in Oklahoma City, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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