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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Midwest City weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Midwest City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

79°59°
78°60°
75°58°
74°60°
78°61°
78°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Mainly clear
Feels 55° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Overcast
Feels 52° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Overcast
Feels 58° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 55%

Latest for Midwest City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 59° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 62° Overcast.

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Midwest City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Midwest City…

Midwest City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Midwest City swings 64°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 166 days a year at 77°F or above, 100 of them at 86°F or above, 47 frost nights, and rain on 91 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
June
37 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and October
Residents
57,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
166 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
47 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
91 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Midwest City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Midwest City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Midwest City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Midwest City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
75° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
74° 60°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
71° 61°
±12°
Sat
Rain
74° 61°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 60°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 54°
±9°
Tue
Clear
71° 53°
±6°
Wed
Clear
71° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 52°
±10°

Midwest City, Oklahoma (OK) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Midwest City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Midwest City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
47°
29°
Feb
52°
33°
Mar
61°
42°
Apr
71°
51°
May
79°
61°
Jun
88°
69°
Jul
93°
74°
Aug
91°
71°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
72°
53°
Nov
58°
41°
Dec
48°
33°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Midwest City has changed since 1995

Midwest City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Oklahoma City. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Oklahoma City page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Midwest City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F94±1.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F96±1.4 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°78° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°77° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°75° to 75°±13%2% to 15% chance
Tue±5°71° to 76°±9%18% to 27% chance
Wed±2°78° to 80°±9%5% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Midwest City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:42
Daylight
10h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Midwest City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Midwest City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Midwest City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Midwest City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Midwest City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Midwest City (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Midwest City?
July is typically the warmest month in Midwest City, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Midwest City get?
The coldest month in Midwest City is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Midwest City get?
Midwest City sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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