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CheckWeather USOgden
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Ogden weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Ogden today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 84°, with a 25% chance of rain.

89°69°
84°66°
74°60°
79°55°
84°56°
85°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 70°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 71°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 68°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ogden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
89° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
84° 66°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 60°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
79° 55°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
84° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
85° 61°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
85° 62°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 58°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 52°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 52°
±11°
Tue
Clear
83° 57°
±12°
Wed
Mostly clear
89° 60°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
83° 60°
±11°

Ogden, UT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 18°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ogden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ogden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
19°
Feb
38°
18°
Mar
46°
25°
Apr
57°
32°
May
70°
42°
Jun
82°
54°
Jul
94°
62°
Aug
89°
60°
Sep
80°
51°
Oct
65°
40°
Nov
46°
26°
Dec
38°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ogden?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F85±4.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°88° to 90°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±4°82° to 86°±9%16% to 25% chance
Mon±1°73° to 75°±16%35% to 51% chance
Tue±2°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°82° to 86°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ogden

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:54
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ogden today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ogden today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ogden today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ogden and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ogden?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ogden (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ogden?
July is typically the warmest month in Ogden, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Ogden get?
The coldest month in Ogden is February, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Ogden get?
Ogden sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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