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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Ogden weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 57° in Ogden today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 57°, with a 6% chance of rain.

57°40°
57°40°
63°42°
55°42°
61°40°
63°45°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
58°
Mostly clear
Today 58°·Low 41°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Fog
Today 58°·Low 39°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Cloudy
Today 57°·Low 39°·Rain 12%
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Ogden weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Ogden weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ogden swings 79°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 12°F lows in December, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 18 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 114 days a year at 77°F or above, 71 of them at 86°F or above, 141 frost nights, and rain on 82 days.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
December
12°F average low
Wettest month
May
18 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
85,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
114 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
141 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
82 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ogden’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ogden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ogden hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ogden 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
57° 40°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
57° 40°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
63° 42°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
55° 42°
±6°
Wed
Partly cloudy
61° 40°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
63° 45°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
61° 49°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
56° 46°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
54° 41°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
55° 39°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
58° 37°
±5°
Wed
Clear
54° 38°
±13°
Thu
Partly cloudy
56° 39°
±14°

Ogden, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 12°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ogden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ogden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
35°
19°
Feb
40°
20°
Mar
51°
30°
Apr
57°
32°
May
70°
42°
Jun
80°
52°
Jul
91°
59°
Aug
88°
59°
Sep
77°
48°
Oct
60°
35°
Nov
45°
25°
Dec
31°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ogden has changed since 1995

Ogden sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Salt Lake City. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Salt Lake City page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ogden?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F93±2.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°57° to 58°±11%1% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°56° to 57°±4%2% to 6% chance
Mon±1°62° to 63°±11%8% to 19% chance
Tue±6°52° to 58°±26%22% to 48% chance
Wed±5°59° to 63°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ogden

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
18:33
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ogden today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 57° in Ogden today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 57°, with a 6% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ogden today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Ogden on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 6% (NWS 2%, American 2%, European 6%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 12%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ogden?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ogden (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ogden?
July is typically the warmest month in Ogden, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Ogden get?
The coldest month in Ogden is December, when overnight lows average about 12°F.
How much rain does Ogden get?
Ogden sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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