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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Newton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Newton's high today between 70° and 75°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 69°, with a 90% chance of rain.

72°62°
69°58°
77°54°
80°60°
77°61°
78°67°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Drizzle
Today 70°·Low 63°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 61°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Drizzle
Today 72°·Low 62°·Rain 99%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Newton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
72° 62°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
69° 58°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 54°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
77° 61°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
78° 67°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
77° 61°
±12°
Sat
Clear
78° 59°
±12°
Sun
Partly cloudy
81° 61°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 64°
±14°
Tue
Drizzle
75° 62°
±11°
Wed
Showers
73° 58°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 56°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
69° 56°
models agree

Newton, MA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Newton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Newton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
43°
24°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
59°
40°
May
69°
49°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
43°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Newton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.1 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 75°±80%19% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±1°68° to 69°±39%51% to 90% chance
Monmodels agree77° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°79° to 81°±24%1% to 25% chance
Wed±5°74° to 79°±3%24% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Newton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Newton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newton?
July is typically the warmest month in Newton, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Newton get?
The coldest month in Newton is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Newton get?
Newton sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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