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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Boston weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Boston today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

58°35°
64°37°
67°44°
55°42°
50°37°
61°41°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Mostly clear
Today 57°·Low 34°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 33°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Today 57°·Low 37°·Rain 0%
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Boston weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Boston…

Boston weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Boston swings 61°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 21°F lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 80 days a year at 77°F or above, 27 of them at 86°F or above, 104 frost nights, and rain on 127 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
February
21°F average low
Wettest month
November
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
654,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
80 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
104 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
127 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Boston’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Boston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Boston in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Boston, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Boston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Boston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
58° 35°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
64° 37°
models agree
Mon
Clear
67° 44°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
55° 42°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
50° 37°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
61° 41°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
66° 49°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
58° 47°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 47°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 48°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
64° 48°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
56° 41°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
55° 38°
models agree

Boston, Massachusetts (MA). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Boston right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Boston's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Boston weather by month

what to expect in Boston through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Boston's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Boston by season.

Jan
35°
22°
Cold
Feb
38°
21°
Cold
Mar
44°
29°
Cool
Apr
55°
38°
Cool
May
67°
48°
Mild
Jun
76°
58°
Warm
Jul
82°
66°
Warm
Aug
81°
65°
Warm
Sep
72°
57°
Warm
Oct
61°
45°
Mild
Nov
50°
35°
Cool
Wettest
Dec
40°
27°
Cool

What Boston's weather is like through the year

Boston runs from warm summers, with July highs near 82°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 21°F (a swing of about 61°F across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Boston sees roughly 48 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Boston sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Boston

The most comfortable time to visit Boston is usually May, June, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

How Boston's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.6°F

Around Boston, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2003: −2.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2010: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

6 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: −12 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: −15 vs the 30-year average1999: +17 vs the 30-year average2000: −16 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: −10 vs the 30-year average2004: −12 vs the 30-year average2005: +3 vs the 30-year average2006: −12 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: −5 vs the 30-year average2009: −13 vs the 30-year average2010: +12 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: +5 vs the 30-year average2013: −6 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: +11 vs the 30-year average2016: +24 vs the 30-year average2017: −10 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: −1 vs the 30-year average2020: +21 vs the 30-year average2021: −8 vs the 30-year average2022: +16 vs the 30-year average2023: −12 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

8 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +13 vs the 30-year average1996: +8 vs the 30-year average1997: +22 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +3 vs the 30-year average2002: +6 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: +2 vs the 30-year average2005: +5 vs the 30-year average2006: −12 vs the 30-year average2007: +10 vs the 30-year average2008: +10 vs the 30-year average2009: −8 vs the 30-year average2010: −13 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: +8 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +13 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: −11 vs the 30-year average2023: −11 vs the 30-year average2024: −21 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: +6% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +6% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −6% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: +2% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°F+9+13+2%
1996−2.3°F−12+8+2%
1997−1.6°F−1+22+6%
1998+0.6°F−15−14−2%
1999+1.1°F+17−4+2%
2000−1.8°F−16−4+2%
2001+0.6°F+6+3−2%
2002+0.9°F+21+6+2%
2003−2.3°F−10+11−2%
2004−1.6°F−12+2+2%
2005−0.7°F+3+5−2%
2006+0.6°F−12−12−2%
2007−0.7°F+4+10+2%
2008−0.5°F−5+10−2%
2009−1.6°F−13−8−2%
2010+1.3°F+12−13+6%
2011+0.2°F−9−1−2%
2012+2.2°F+5−7−6%
2013−0.3°F−6+8−2%
2014−1.2°F−3+2+2%
2015−0.3°F+11−2−2%
2016+1.5°F+24−5+2%
2017+0.2°F−10−3+2%
2018±0.0°F+9+13+2%
2019−0.5°F−1+8+2%
2020+1.6°F+21−3+2%
2021+1.1°F−8−7−2%
2022+1.6°F+16−11+2%
2023+1.5°F−12−11−6%
2024+1.6°F−3−21−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Boston, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Boston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.7 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Boston, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 80. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°57° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°63° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°65° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°52° to 57°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±4°48° to 52°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Boston

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Boston today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Boston today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Boston today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Boston on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Boston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Boston (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Boston?
July is typically the warmest month in Boston, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Boston get?
The coldest month in Boston is February, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Boston get?
Boston sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Boston?
The most comfortable time to visit Boston is usually May, June, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Boston?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Boston, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Boston getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Boston, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More US weather