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CheckWeather USNewark
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Newark weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Newark today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 76°, with a 57% chance of rain.

80°68°
76°64°
79°60°
84°64°
87°68°
82°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Newark and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
76° 64°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
84° 64°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
87° 68°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 72°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 66°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
79° 64°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 68°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
85° 70°
±14°
Tue
Drizzle
80° 66°
±20°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 63°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 61°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
72° 61°
±6°

Newark, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Newark right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Newark climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
31°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
63°
44°
May
72°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
69°
49°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Newark?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.2 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 81°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 78°±52%5% to 57% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±3°82° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°86° to 89°±3%5% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newark

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newark today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Newark today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newark today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Newark and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newark?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newark (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newark?
July is typically the warmest month in Newark, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Newark get?
The coldest month in Newark is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Newark get?
Newark sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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