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CheckWeather USMoreno Valley
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Moreno Valley weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Moreno Valley's high today between 88° and 94°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 78°, with a 97% chance of rain.

92°62°
78°69°
90°70°
93°72°
100°75°
99°77°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Mostly clear
Today 88°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Clear
Today 94°·Low 60°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 61°·Rain 45%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Moreno Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
92° 62°
±6°
Tomorrow
Light rain
78° 69°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
90° 70°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
93° 72°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 75°
±10°
Thu
Clear
99° 77°
±9°
Fri
Clear
94° 74°
±5°
Sat
Clear
88° 67°
models agree
Sun
Clear
90° 66°
±7°
Mon
Clear
92° 69°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
94° 70°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
92° 72°
±7°
Fri
Clear
91° 70°
±10°

Moreno Valley, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Moreno Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Moreno Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
42°
Feb
58°
41°
Mar
59°
44°
Apr
71°
47°
May
76°
51°
Jun
83°
56°
Jul
96°
67°
Aug
93°
66°
Sep
86°
61°
Oct
83°
57°
Nov
70°
47°
Dec
67°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Moreno Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
79±2.1°F94±1.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°88° to 94°±44%1% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 80°±52%45% to 97% chance
Mon±7°88° to 95°±15%5% to 20% chance
Tue±8°90° to 98°±3%7% to 10% chance
Wed±10°94° to 104°±4%12% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moreno Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moreno Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Moreno Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moreno Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Moreno Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moreno Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moreno Valley (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moreno Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Moreno Valley, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Moreno Valley get?
The coldest month in Moreno Valley is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Moreno Valley get?
Moreno Valley sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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