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Monterey weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
52°
Clear
Feels 50° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 50° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 55%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Monterey: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 52° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 49° Clear.

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Monterey weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Monterey…

Monterey weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Monterey swings 21°F across the year, from 67°F highs in October to 46°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 5 days a year at 77°F or above, 1 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 61 days.

Warmest month
October
67°F average high
Coldest month
February
46°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
28,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
5 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
61 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Monterey’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Monterey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Monterey hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Monterey 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Monterey, California (CA) is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 67°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 46°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Monterey right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Monterey climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
47°
Feb
57°
46°
Mar
57°
48°
Apr
58°
49°
May
60°
51°
Jun
62°
53°
Jul
65°
54°
Aug
65°
55°
Sep
66°
55°
Oct
67°
53°
Nov
62°
48°
Dec
58°
46°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Monterey has changed since 1995

Monterey sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Salinas. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Salinas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Monterey?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Monterey today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Monterey today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Monterey today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Monterey and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Monterey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Monterey (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Monterey?
October is typically the warmest month in Monterey, with average highs around 67°F.
How cold does Monterey get?
The coldest month in Monterey is February, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Monterey get?
Monterey sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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