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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Mishawaka weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Mishawaka today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 3% chance of rain.

68°44°
71°46°
70°49°
65°48°
71°50°
72°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 44°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
68°
Fog
Today 68°·Low 43°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 46°·Rain 0%
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Mishawaka weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Mishawaka weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Mishawaka swings 61°F across the year, from 81°F highs in June to 20°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 97 days a year at 77°F or above, 25 of them at 86°F or above, 111 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
June
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
July
40 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
48,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
97 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
111 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
142 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Mishawaka’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mishawaka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mishawaka hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mishawaka 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
68° 44°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 46°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
70° 49°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
71° 50°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
72° 51°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
69° 49°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
69° 52°
±7°
Sun
Light rain
67° 54°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
60° 43°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
47° 41°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
51° 38°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
56° 42°
±12°

Mishawaka, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mishawaka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mishawaka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
20°
Feb
38°
20°
Mar
46°
28°
Apr
58°
39°
May
70°
48°
Jun
81°
59°
Jul
81°
62°
Aug
80°
61°
Sep
74°
55°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
47°
33°
Dec
36°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mishawaka has changed since 1995

Mishawaka sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as South Bend. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the South Bend page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mishawaka?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°66° to 70°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±5°68° to 72°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±1°70° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°63° to 66°±14%0% to 14% chance
Wed±3°69° to 72°±10%6% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mishawaka

today, local time
Sunrise
08:07
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mishawaka today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Mishawaka today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 3% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mishawaka today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Mishawaka on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 3% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mishawaka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mishawaka (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mishawaka?
June is typically the warmest month in Mishawaka, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Mishawaka get?
The coldest month in Mishawaka is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Mishawaka get?
Mishawaka sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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