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CheckWeather USMinot
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Minot weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Minot today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 84°, with a 47% chance of rain.

83°64°
84°65°
80°66°
71°59°
74°56°
81°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Drizzle
Today 85°·Low 63°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 65°·Rain 12%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Thunderstorm
Today 82°·Low 65°·Rain 73%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Minot and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
83° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
84° 65°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
80° 66°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 59°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 56°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 55°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
59° 50°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
59° 45°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 45°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
70° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 51°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
70° 54°
±9°

Minot, ND is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 9°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Minot right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Minot climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
Feb
31°
14°
Mar
28°
11°
Apr
50°
30°
May
68°
46°
Jun
75°
56°
Jul
80°
60°
Aug
79°
60°
Sep
76°
55°
Oct
57°
38°
Nov
37°
23°
Dec
31°
16°

Which forecast is most accurate in Minot?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F94±1.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°81° to 85°±61%12% to 73% chance
Tomorrow±3°82° to 85°±27%20% to 47% chance
Mon±3°79° to 81°±8%79% to 87% chance
Tue±3°70° to 73°±9%12% to 21% chance
Wed±4°72° to 76°±10%12% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Minot

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
20:18
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Minot today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Minot today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Minot today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Minot and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Minot?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Minot (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Minot?
July is typically the warmest month in Minot, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Minot get?
The coldest month in Minot is January, when overnight lows average about 9°F.
How much rain does Minot get?
Minot sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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