North Dakota weather today
We follow 14 towns and cities in North Dakota, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 64°F in Minot and 70°F in Fargo, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 1 of the 4 places we hold today's forecast for.
Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Weather in North Dakota's largest cities today
consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.
North Dakota weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts in North Dakota…
The past week across North Dakota
analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28- Dickinson, ND72.9°F
- Watford City, ND72.3°F
- Bismarck, ND71.4°F
- Minot Air Force Base, ND70.1°F
Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.
Which forecast is most accurate in North Dakota?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 6 North Dakota cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 6 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.
How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.
North Dakota climate, city by city
Across the 10 North Dakota places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 77°F in Devils Lake to 82°F in Dickinson, and January highs from 19°F in Devils Lake to 26°F in Dickinson. Fargo is the wettest at about 26 in of precipitation a year, Williston the driest at about 14 in.
Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.