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CheckWeather USFargo
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Fargo weather

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Partly cloudy,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Fargo's high today between 83° and 88°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 88°, with a 34% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

86°65°
88°70°
80°69°
83°68°
77°61°
84°56°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Partly cloudy
Today 87°·Low 65°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Fog
Today 88°·Low 65°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 65°·Rain 33%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fargo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
86° 65°
±5°
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
88° 70°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
80° 69°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
83° 68°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
77° 61°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 56°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 59°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 55°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
62° 49°
±17°
Mon
Mostly clear
69° 48°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
73° 50°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
76° 55°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
69° 61°
models agree

Fargo, ND is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 8°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fargo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fargo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
Feb
32°
12°
Mar
34°
15°
Apr
50°
31°
May
71°
48°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
82°
62°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
77°
58°
Oct
60°
42°
Nov
41°
27°
Dec
31°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fargo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°83° to 88°±22%11% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±9°82° to 91°±12%22% to 34% chance
Mon±6°76° to 82°±25%59% to 84% chance
Tue±3°82° to 85°±18%56% to 74% chance
Wed±7°74° to 82°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fargo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:59
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fargo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fargo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fargo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fargo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fargo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fargo (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fargo?
July is typically the warmest month in Fargo, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Fargo get?
The coldest month in Fargo is January, when overnight lows average about 8°F.
How much rain does Fargo get?
Fargo sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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