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CheckWeather USMidland
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Midland weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Midland today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 75°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°62°
75°56°
77°54°
81°56°
79°68°
77°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Light drizzle
Today 75°·Low 62°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 62°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 61°·Rain 66%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Midland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
77° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
75° 56°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 54°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
81° 56°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
79° 68°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
77° 61°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 54°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
84° 60°
±13°
Sun
Drizzle
78° 60°
±17°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 57°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
68° 52°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 48°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 50°
±11°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 52°
±7°

Midland, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Midland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Midland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
23°
Feb
40°
23°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
58°
38°
May
72°
48°
Jun
80°
58°
Jul
82°
62°
Aug
79°
60°
Sep
75°
56°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
48°
34°
Dec
39°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Midland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°75° to 78°±57%9% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°76° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°80° to 81°±5%11% to 16% chance
Wed±11°73° to 84°±25%58% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Midland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
20:05
Daylight
13h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Midland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Midland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Midland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Midland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Midland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Midland (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Midland?
July is typically the warmest month in Midland, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Midland get?
The coldest month in Midland is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Midland get?
Midland sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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