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CheckWeather USBay City

Bay City weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bay City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Bay City, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 33 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bay City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bay City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
24°
Feb
40°
24°
Mar
44°
29°
Apr
58°
40°
May
68°
50°
Jun
77°
60°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
39°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bay City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.4 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bay City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bay City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bay City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bay City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bay City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bay City (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bay City?
July is typically the warmest month in Bay City, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Bay City get?
The coldest month in Bay City is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Bay City get?
Bay City sees roughly 33 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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