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CheckWeather US›Delaware›Middletown
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Middletown weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Middletown today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

61°37°
64°39°
67°42°
64°47°
61°42°
66°45°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Mostly clear
Today 62°·Low 36°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Clear
Today 61°·Low 38°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Mostly clear
Today 61°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
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Middletown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Middletown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Middletown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Middletown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
61° 37°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
64° 39°
models agree
Mon
Clear
67° 42°
models agree
Tue
Clear
64° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
61° 42°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
66° 45°
±6°
Fri
Clear
69° 48°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
67° 47°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
65° 47°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
64° 52°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
54° 41°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
58° 40°
models agree

Middletown is a small town of about 20,000 people in Delaware (DE), sitting at 39.4°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Middletown with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Glasgow, Smyrna, Elkton.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Middletown has changed since 1995

Middletown sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Wilmington. That square ran 1.9°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Wilmington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°61° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°63° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°66° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°63° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°60° to 63°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Middletown

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
10h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Middletown today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Middletown today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Middletown today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Middletown on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Middletown?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Middletown forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

Nearby

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