Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USWilmington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Wilmington weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Wilmington today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 80°, with a 12% chance of rain.

81°70°
80°64°
80°62°
83°60°
86°66°
89°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Light rain
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 71°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wilmington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
80° 64°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 60°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
86° 66°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
89° 72°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
81° 67°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
83° 65°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
87° 68°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
85° 69°
±13°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
81° 65°
±23°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 62°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 61°
models agree
Fri
Rain
71° 60°
±11°

Wilmington, DE is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wilmington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wilmington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
32°
Feb
49°
32°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
73°
54°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
84°
67°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
69°
51°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
47°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wilmington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F92±2.5 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°80° to 83°±24%19% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±2°79° to 81°±10%2% to 12% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±5°81° to 86°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±4°84° to 88°±3%1% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wilmington

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:27
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wilmington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wilmington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wilmington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wilmington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wilmington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wilmington (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wilmington?
July is typically the warmest month in Wilmington, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Wilmington get?
The coldest month in Wilmington is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Wilmington get?
Wilmington sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather