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Mexico weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
51°
Partly cloudy
Feels 48° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Overcast
Feels 44° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Partly cloudy
Feels 54° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Mexico: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 51° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 58° Partly cloudy.

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Mexico weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Mexico…

Mexico weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mexico swings 66°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
May
42 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mexico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mexico hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mexico 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Mexico, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mexico right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mexico climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
36°
21°
Feb
44°
23°
Mar
53°
34°
Apr
66°
44°
May
75°
54°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
68°
Sep
78°
58°
Oct
66°
47°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
41°
28°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mexico has changed since 1995

Mexico sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fulton. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Fulton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Mexico today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mexico today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mexico today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mexico and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mexico?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Mexico forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Mexico?
July is typically the warmest month in Mexico, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Mexico get?
The coldest month in Mexico is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Mexico get?
Mexico sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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