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CheckWeather USColumbia
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Columbia weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Columbia today. Tomorrow looks showers around 94°, with a 24% chance of rain.

99°75°
94°75°
91°70°
100°70°
96°75°
87°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 75°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 74°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Columbia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
99° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
94° 75°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 70°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
100° 70°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±5°
Thu
Rain
87° 70°
±13°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 66°
±20°
Sat
Drizzle
92° 69°
±13°
Sun
Light rain
89° 66°
±19°
Mon
Drizzle
76° 60°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 55°
±8°
Wed
Clear
76° 53°
±5°
Thu
Clear
78° 55°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 57°
models agree

Columbia, MO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Columbia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Columbia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
25°
Feb
53°
31°
Mar
57°
36°
Apr
69°
46°
May
79°
57°
Jun
87°
66°
Jul
88°
68°
Aug
87°
68°
Sep
82°
61°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
56°
39°
Dec
47°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Columbia?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°97° to 100°±36%1% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±2°93° to 95°±15%9% to 24% chance
Mon±3°90° to 93°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±6°98° to 104°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°93° to 99°±2%48% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Columbia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Columbia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Columbia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Columbia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Columbia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Columbia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Columbia (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Columbia?
July is typically the warmest month in Columbia, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Columbia get?
The coldest month in Columbia is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Columbia get?
Columbia sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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