Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USManhattan
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Manhattan weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Manhattan today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 97°, with a 33% chance of rain.

99°76°
97°76°
99°75°
104°82°
88°74°
90°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±16°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Partly cloudy
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 73°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 79°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manhattan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
99° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
97° 76°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
99° 75°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
104° 82°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 74°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 68°
±16°
Fri
Light drizzle
93° 68°
±12°
Sat
Drizzle
92° 74°
±12°
Sun
Rain
82° 65°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
71° 58°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 56°
±12°
Wed
Clear
79° 57°
±11°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 60°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 60°
models agree

Manhattan, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 30 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manhattan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manhattan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
21°
Feb
52°
29°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
70°
47°
May
78°
57°
Jun
88°
68°
Jul
91°
71°
Aug
90°
71°
Sep
85°
63°
Oct
73°
52°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manhattan?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F96±1.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F89±3.4 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°99° to 100°±9%1% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±1°97° to 98°±18%15% to 33% chance
Mon±2°97° to 99°±2%12% to 14% chance
Tue±10°99° to 109°±6%10% to 16% chance
Wed±4°86° to 90°±13%31% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manhattan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manhattan today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manhattan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manhattan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manhattan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manhattan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manhattan (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manhattan?
July is typically the warmest month in Manhattan, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Manhattan get?
The coldest month in Manhattan is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Manhattan get?
Manhattan sees roughly 30 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather