Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

Manchester weather

Loading live data…

Manchester weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Manchester…

Manchester weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Manchester swings 62°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 87 days a year at 77°F or above, 26 of them at 86°F or above, 110 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
October
51 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, June and September
Residents
31,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
87 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
110 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
129 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Manchester’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manchester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Manchester hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Manchester 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Manchester, Connecticut (CT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manchester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manchester climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
35°
21°
Feb
39°
21°
Mar
46°
28°
Apr
58°
37°
May
69°
48°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
62°
44°
Nov
50°
34°
Dec
40°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Manchester has changed since 1995

Manchester sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Springfield. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Springfield page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Manchester?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
93
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Manchester today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manchester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manchester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manchester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manchester?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manchester (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manchester?
July is typically the warmest month in Manchester, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Manchester get?
The coldest month in Manchester is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Manchester get?
Manchester sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather