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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lowell weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Lowell today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

59°32°
65°34°
68°40°
54°37°
52°32°
62°38°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Mostly clear
Today 59°·Low 30°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 31°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
59°
Clear
Today 59°·Low 34°·Rain 0%
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Lowell weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lowell…

Lowell weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lowell swings 63°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 19°F lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 85 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 112 frost nights, and rain on 125 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
February
19°F average low
Wettest month
November
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
111,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
85 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
112 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
125 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lowell’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lowell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lowell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lowell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
59° 32°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 34°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
68° 40°
models agree
Tue
Clear
54° 37°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
52° 32°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
62° 38°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
66° 46°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
59° 43°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
59° 42°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 44°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
63° 45°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
51° 38°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
54° 36°
models agree

Lowell, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 19°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lowell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lowell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
20°
Feb
38°
19°
Mar
44°
28°
Apr
56°
37°
May
68°
47°
Jun
76°
57°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
72°
56°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
39°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lowell has changed since 1995

Lowell sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Boston. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Boston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lowell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°59° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°64° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°53° to 55°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°50° to 54°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lowell

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lowell today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Lowell today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lowell today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Lowell on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lowell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lowell (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lowell?
July is typically the warmest month in Lowell, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Lowell get?
The coldest month in Lowell is February, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Lowell get?
Lowell sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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