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CheckWeather USLorain
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lorain weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 76° in Lorain today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 75°, with a 27% chance of rain.

76°66°
75°61°
76°59°
82°59°
86°71°
77°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Light rain
Today 76°·Low 66°·Rain 31%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 68°·Rain 31%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lorain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
76° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
75° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
76° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 59°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
86° 71°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 67°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
76° 62°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 63°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
85° 67°
±13°
Mon
Drizzle
79° 65°
±11°
Tue
Drizzle
73° 59°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 55°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 56°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 57°
models agree

Lorain, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lorain right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lorain climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
28°
Feb
44°
29°
Mar
47°
34°
Apr
59°
44°
May
67°
53°
Jun
76°
62°
Jul
79°
67°
Aug
77°
66°
Sep
73°
61°
Oct
63°
51°
Nov
52°
40°
Dec
43°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lorain?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F93±2.3 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.1 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°76° to 77°±67%31% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°74° to 76°±22%5% to 27% chance
Mon±2°75° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°82° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°83° to 87°±7%20% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lorain

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lorain today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lorain today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lorain today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lorain and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lorain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lorain (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lorain?
July is typically the warmest month in Lorain, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Lorain get?
The coldest month in Lorain is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Lorain get?
Lorain sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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