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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lorain weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Lorain today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain.

65°42°
68°44°
65°49°
60°48°
66°45°
72°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
46°
Fog
Feels 43° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Mainly clear
Feels 41° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
48°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Lorain: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 46° Fog · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 48° Clear.

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Lorain weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lorain…

Lorain weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lorain swings 54°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 23°F lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 74 days a year at 77°F or above, 10 of them at 86°F or above, 88 frost nights, and rain on 156 days.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
23°F average low
Wettest month
June
42 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
64,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
74 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
88 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
156 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lorain’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lorain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lorain hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lorain 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
65° 42°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68° 44°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
65° 49°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
60° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
66° 45°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
72° 50°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
67° 50°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
68° 51°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
67° 54°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
62° 47°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
52° 41°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
50° 39°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 41°
±9°

Lorain, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 23°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lorain right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lorain climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
24°
Feb
38°
23°
Mar
43°
30°
Apr
56°
41°
May
64°
50°
Jun
74°
60°
Jul
77°
65°
Aug
76°
65°
Sep
70°
58°
Oct
60°
48°
Nov
49°
37°
Dec
39°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lorain has changed since 1995

Lorain sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cleveland. That square ran 2.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cleveland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lorain?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F93±2.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°64° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°62° to 69°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°58° to 61°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°63° to 68°±9%1% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lorain

today, local time
Sunrise
07:51
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lorain today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 65° in Lorain today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lorain today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Lorain on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lorain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lorain (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lorain?
July is typically the warmest month in Lorain, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Lorain get?
The coldest month in Lorain is February, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Lorain get?
Lorain sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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