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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Elyria weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Elyria today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain.

66°42°
68°42°
66°48°
60°48°
66°45°
72°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
52°
Fog
Feels 50° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Overcast
Feels 44° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Clear
Feels 48° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Elyria: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 52° Fog · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 52° Clear.

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Elyria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Elyria weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Elyria swings 57°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 22°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 99 frost nights, and rain on 157 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
22°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, August, September and October
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
99 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
157 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Elyria’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elyria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elyria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elyria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
66° 42°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68° 42°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 48°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
60° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
66° 45°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
72° 49°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
67° 49°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
68° 51°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
67° 54°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
62° 47°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
52° 41°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
49° 38°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 41°
±8°

Elyria, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 22°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elyria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elyria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
35°
23°
Feb
40°
22°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
59°
40°
May
67°
48°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
79°
62°
Aug
78°
62°
Sep
72°
56°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
49°
35°
Dec
39°
28°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Elyria has changed since 1995

Elyria sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cleveland. That square ran 2.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cleveland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Elyria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°65° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°67° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°62° to 68°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°58° to 61°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°63° to 68°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elyria

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
18:33
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elyria today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Elyria today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Elyria today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Elyria on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elyria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elyria (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elyria?
July is typically the warmest month in Elyria, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Elyria get?
The coldest month in Elyria is February, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Elyria get?
Elyria sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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