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CheckWeather USElyria
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Elyria weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Elyria today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 75°, with a 39% chance of rain.

77°64°
75°59°
77°57°
82°59°
86°70°
77°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Showers
Today 76°·Low 64°·Rain 30%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 66°·Rain 30%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Showers
Today 77°·Low 64°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elyria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
75° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 59°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
86° 70°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 66°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
76° 61°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 66°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
79° 64°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
73° 58°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
67° 55°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 55°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
72° 57°
±5°

Elyria, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elyria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elyria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
62°
43°
May
70°
51°
Jun
78°
60°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
43°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elyria?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F97±1.0 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.4 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°76° to 77°±70%30% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°74° to 76°±35%4% to 39% chance
Mon±2°75° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°81° to 84°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°83° to 88°±4%24% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elyria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elyria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elyria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elyria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elyria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elyria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elyria (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elyria?
July is typically the warmest month in Elyria, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Elyria get?
The coldest month in Elyria is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Elyria get?
Elyria sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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