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CheckWeather USLawrence
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lawrence weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Lawrence today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 70°, with a 92% chance of rain.

71°61°
70°57°
78°54°
80°59°
74°59°
79°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Partly cloudy
Feels 62° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 52%
EuropeanECMWF
65°
Clear
Feels 61° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 53%

Latest for Lawrence: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 65° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 65° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lawrence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
71° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
70° 57°
models agree
Mon
Clear
78° 54°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 59°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 65°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 60°
±12°
Sat
Clear
77° 57°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
81° 61°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 63°
±13°
Tue
Drizzle
75° 60°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 58°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
70° 56°
models agree

Lawrence, MA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lawrence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lawrence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
42°
24°
Mar
47°
31°
Apr
58°
39°
May
68°
48°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
78°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
42°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lawrence?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.5 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 72°±78%22% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°69° to 70°±55%37% to 92% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°models agree1% to 1% chance
Tue±3°79° to 81°±16%0% to 16% chance
Wed±2°74° to 75°±11%34% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lawrence

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lawrence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lawrence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lawrence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lawrence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lawrence?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lawrence (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lawrence?
July is typically the warmest month in Lawrence, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Lawrence get?
The coldest month in Lawrence is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Lawrence get?
Lawrence sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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