Lake Elmo weather
Loading live data…Latest for Lake Elmo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Clear · European (ECMWF): 63° Clear.
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active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lake Elmo…
Lake Elmo weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsLake Elmo swings 73°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 8°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Elmo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Lake Elmo hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Lake Elmo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitLake Elmo, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 8°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Elmo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Lake Elmo climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Lake Elmo has changed since 1995
Lake Elmo sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Minneapolis. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Minneapolis page.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.