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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Laguna weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Laguna's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°48°
74°48°
70°51°
69°48°
67°49°
66°49°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Clear
Today 71°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 47°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Clear
Today 70°·Low 50°·Rain 0%
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Laguna weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Laguna…

Laguna weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Laguna swings 57°F across the year, from 95°F highs in July to 38°F lows in December, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 170 days a year at 77°F or above, 109 of them at 86°F or above, 4 frost nights, and rain on 58 days.

Warmest month
July
95°F average high
Coldest month
December
38°F average low
Wettest month
December
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
47,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
170 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
4 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
58 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Laguna’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Laguna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Laguna hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Laguna 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
72° 48°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
74° 48°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
70° 51°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
69° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
66° 49°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 50°
±13°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 48°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
68° 49°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
66° 51°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 55°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 52°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 56°
±14°

Laguna, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 38°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Laguna right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Laguna climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
60°
42°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
71°
47°
May
80°
53°
Jun
88°
57°
Jul
95°
59°
Aug
92°
59°
Sep
88°
58°
Oct
77°
51°
Nov
63°
43°
Dec
54°
38°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Laguna has changed since 1995

Laguna sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sacramento. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sacramento page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Laguna?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
95
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F96±1.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°70° to 71°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±1°68° to 69°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°65° to 67°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Laguna

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
10h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Laguna today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Laguna's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Laguna today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Laguna on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Laguna?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Laguna (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 95. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Laguna?
July is typically the warmest month in Laguna, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Laguna get?
The coldest month in Laguna is December, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Laguna get?
Laguna sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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