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CheckWeather USElk Grove
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Elk Grove weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Elk Grove today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 83°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°53°
83°56°
89°54°
94°60°
100°70°
103°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 54°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elk Grove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
83° 56°
models agree
Mon
Clear
89° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
94° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
100° 70°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
103° 74°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
92° 66°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
88° 61°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 59°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
87° 58°
±12°
Tue
Clear
90° 59°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 60°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
95° 62°
±7°
Fri
Clear
93° 59°
models agree

Elk Grove, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elk Grove right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elk Grove climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
57°
40°
Mar
60°
43°
Apr
70°
46°
May
79°
52°
Jun
88°
57°
Jul
98°
62°
Aug
94°
61°
Sep
88°
58°
Oct
81°
54°
Nov
63°
43°
Dec
58°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elk Grove?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
92
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree82° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°88° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°92° to 95°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±10°95° to 105°±1%2% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elk Grove

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elk Grove today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elk Grove today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elk Grove today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elk Grove and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elk Grove?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Elk Grove (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the European at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elk Grove?
July is typically the warmest month in Elk Grove, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Elk Grove get?
The coldest month in Elk Grove is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Elk Grove get?
Elk Grove sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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