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Kyle weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Mainly clear
Feels 62° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Mainly clear
Feels 58° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Mainly clear
Feels 66° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Kyle: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 64° Mainly clear.

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Kyle weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Kyle…

Kyle weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kyle swings 54°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 42°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 227 days a year at 77°F or above, 139 of them at 86°F or above, 8 frost nights, and rain on 123 days.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
June
36 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
36,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
227 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
8 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
123 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kyle’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kyle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kyle hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kyle 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Kyle, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kyle right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kyle climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
42°
Feb
66°
47°
Mar
71°
52°
Apr
77°
59°
May
83°
66°
Jun
91°
71°
Jul
92°
73°
Aug
96°
74°
Sep
87°
68°
Oct
80°
60°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
62°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kyle has changed since 1995

Kyle sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Marcos. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Marcos page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kyle?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F92±2.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.3 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Kyle today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Kyle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kyle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Kyle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kyle?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kyle (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kyle?
August is typically the warmest month in Kyle, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Kyle get?
The coldest month in Kyle is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Kyle get?
Kyle sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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