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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Jackson weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Jackson today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 78°, with a 71% chance of rain.

81°67°
78°62°
79°60°
83°59°
86°65°
90°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Drizzle
Today 81°·Low 67°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jackson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 67°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
78° 62°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
79° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 59°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
86° 65°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
90° 72°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
82° 67°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
84° 63°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
87° 67°
±11°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
87° 69°
±15°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
82° 65°
±23°
Wed
Light drizzle
77° 64°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
74° 59°
±6°
Fri
Showers
72° 58°
±12°

Jackson, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 32°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jackson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jackson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
33°
Feb
49°
32°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
73°
53°
Jun
84°
63°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
84°
67°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
70°
51°
Nov
57°
40°
Dec
48°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jackson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.4 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 81°±18%25% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 79°±63%8% to 71% chance
Mon±3°77° to 80°±9%0% to 9% chance
Tue±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°84° to 87°±9%1% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jackson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jackson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jackson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jackson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jackson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jackson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jackson (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jackson?
July is typically the warmest month in Jackson, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Jackson get?
The coldest month in Jackson is February, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Jackson get?
Jackson sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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