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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Gresham weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Gresham's high today between 58° and 65°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 58°, with a 69% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

61°39°
58°43°
58°47°
57°46°
53°44°
54°42°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±14°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
39°
Partly cloudy
Feels 36° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
36°
Mainly clear
Feels 30° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
40°
Partly cloudy
Feels 36° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Gresham: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 39° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 36° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 40° Partly cloudy.

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Gresham weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Gresham weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Gresham swings 46°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 75 days a year at 77°F or above, 28 of them at 86°F or above, 38 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
November
60 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
111,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
75 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
38 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
160 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Gresham’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Gresham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gresham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gresham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
61° 39°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light rain
58° 43°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
58° 47°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 46°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
53° 44°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
54° 42°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
55° 40°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
54° 38°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 38°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
59° 42°
±10°
Tue
Clear
61° 42°
±12°
Wed
Drizzle
56° 43°
±10°
Thu
Drizzle
57° 50°
models agree

Gresham, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Gresham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Gresham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
46°
35°
Feb
49°
35°
Mar
54°
37°
Apr
58°
41°
May
66°
45°
Jun
72°
49°
Jul
81°
53°
Aug
81°
55°
Sep
73°
52°
Oct
62°
45°
Nov
51°
40°
Dec
45°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Gresham has changed since 1995

Gresham sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Portland. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Portland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gresham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°58° to 65°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±14°51° to 65°±36%33% to 69% chance
Mon±9°53° to 62°±11%59% to 70% chance
Tue±6°53° to 59°±1%50% to 51% chance
Wed±7°51° to 58°±26%24% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gresham

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gresham today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Gresham's high today between 58° and 65°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: light rain, around 58°, with a 69% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gresham today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Gresham on Sunday, October 25: NWS 69%, American 69%, European 33%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gresham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gresham (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gresham?
July is typically the warmest month in Gresham, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Gresham get?
The coldest month in Gresham is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Gresham get?
Gresham sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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