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Fort Worth weekend weather

This weekend in Fort Worth, TX, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 98° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Mostly clear
High 98°·Low 82°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
102°
Light drizzle
High 102°·Low 84°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Light drizzle
High 100°·Low 85°·Rain 22%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Clear
High 95°·Low 77°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Cloudy
High 99°·Low 80°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Clear
High 98°·Low 78°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 4° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°101° to 102°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°104° to 105°±18%2% to 20% chance
Sat±3°98° to 102°±16%6% to 22% chance
Sun±4°95° to 99°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°97° to 102°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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