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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Fort Worth weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Fort Worth today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain.

83°58°
81°61°
80°61°
81°63°
83°63°
83°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Clear
Feels 61° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 62%

Latest for Fort Worth: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 59° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 62° Clear.

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Fort Worth weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fort Worth…

Fort Worth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fort Worth swings 57°F across the year, from 95°F highs in August to 38°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 203 days a year at 77°F or above, 131 of them at 86°F or above, 17 frost nights, and rain on 99 days.

Warmest month
August
95°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
May
35 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
1 million
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
203 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
17 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
99 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fort Worth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fort Worth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fort Worth in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Fort Worth, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Where are you going?

Fort Worth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fort Worth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 63°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
79° 66°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
83° 66°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
84° 67°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 63°
±11°
Tue
Clear
74° 58°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 57°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 57°
±9°

Fort Worth, Texas (TX). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fort Worth right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Fort Worth's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fort Worth weather by month

what to expect in Fort Worth through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Fort Worth's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Fort Worth by season.

Jan
57°
38°
Cool
Feb
61°
42°
Mild
Mar
68°
48°
Mild
Apr
75°
57°
Warm
May
83°
65°
Warm
Wettest
Jun
91°
72°
Hot
Jul
94°
75°
Hot
Aug
95°
74°
Hot
Sep
88°
69°
Hot
Oct
78°
58°
Warm
Nov
65°
47°
Mild
Dec
57°
40°
Cool

What Fort Worth's weather is like through the year

Fort Worth runs from warm summers, with August highs near 95°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 38°F (a swing of about 57°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Fort Worth sees roughly 35 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Fort Worth

The most comfortable time to visit Fort Worth is usually February, March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

How Fort Worth's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F

Around Fort Worth, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.3°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2003: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2006: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2007: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2011: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2012: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.8°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −23 vs the 30-year average1996: −5 vs the 30-year average1997: +4 vs the 30-year average1998: +45 vs the 30-year average1999: −2 vs the 30-year average2000: +26 vs the 30-year average2001: −6 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: −5 vs the 30-year average2004: −46 vs the 30-year average2005: +24 vs the 30-year average2006: +19 vs the 30-year average2007: −61 vs the 30-year average2008: +8 vs the 30-year average2009: −3 vs the 30-year average2010: −1 vs the 30-year average2011: +42 vs the 30-year average2012: +11 vs the 30-year average2013: +5 vs the 30-year average2014: −16 vs the 30-year average2015: −7 vs the 30-year average2016: −32 vs the 30-year average2017: −28 vs the 30-year average2018: +10 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: −27 vs the 30-year average2022: +33 vs the 30-year average2023: +30 vs the 30-year average2024: +6 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: +15 vs the 30-year average1997: +11 vs the 30-year average1998: −10 vs the 30-year average1999: −11 vs the 30-year average2000: +6 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: +7 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: −15 vs the 30-year average2007: +7 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +2 vs the 30-year average2010: +12 vs the 30-year average2011: +9 vs the 30-year average2012: −13 vs the 30-year average2013: +16 vs the 30-year average2014: +9 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: −11 vs the 30-year average2017: −16 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: −15 vs the 30-year average2021: −10 vs the 30-year average2022: +10 vs the 30-year average2023: −12 vs the 30-year average2024: −18 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +12% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +5% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +5% vs the 30-year average2001: +0% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: −6% vs the 30-year average2006: +7% vs the 30-year average2007: −6% vs the 30-year average2008: +7% vs the 30-year average2009: +3% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +7% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −9% vs the 30-year average2016: −6% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: −4% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.5°F−23+4+3%
1996−1.0°F−5+15+12%
1997−2.3°F+4+11−2%
1998+1.3°F+45−10+5%
1999+1.5°F−2−11+5%
2000+0.3°F+26+6+5%
2001−0.8°F−6+5+0%
2002−1.4°F−4+7−2%
2003−0.5°F−5+5−2%
2004−1.2°F−46−2−2%
2005+0.6°F+24−12−6%
2006+1.7°F+19−15+7%
2007−2.1°F−61+7−6%
2008−0.5°F+8+3+7%
2009−1.0°F−3+2+3%
2010−1.2°F−1+12+0%
2011+2.1°F+42+9+7%
2012+1.5°F+11−13+0%
2013−1.2°F+5+16−2%
2014−1.4°F−16+9+3%
2015−0.5°F−7+3−9%
2016+0.1°F−32−11−6%
2017+1.0°F−28−16−2%
2018−0.5°F+10+8−2%
2019−0.5°F+4+4−2%
2020+0.3°F−2−15−2%
2021+0.1°F−27−10−4%
2022+1.7°F+33+10+3%
2023+2.8°F+30−12−6%
2024+2.4°F+6−18−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Fort Worth, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Worth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F93±2.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Fort Worth, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°81° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±14%5% to 19% chance
Wed±1°83° to 84°±6%6% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Worth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
18:45
Daylight
11h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Worth today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Fort Worth today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fort Worth today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fort Worth on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Worth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Worth (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Worth?
August is typically the warmest month in Fort Worth, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Fort Worth get?
The coldest month in Fort Worth is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Fort Worth get?
Fort Worth sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Fort Worth?
The most comfortable time to visit Fort Worth is usually February, March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Fort Worth?
Rarely - Fort Worth very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Fort Worth getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Fort Worth, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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