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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Foggy Bottom weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Foggy Bottom today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain.

63°42°
66°44°
69°46°
68°52°
63°48°
69°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Foggy Bottom: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Clear · European (ECMWF): 49° Clear.

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Foggy Bottom weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Foggy Bottom and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Foggy Bottom hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Foggy Bottom 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
63° 42°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
66° 44°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 46°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
72° 51°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
70° 52°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
67° 51°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
64° 56°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
65° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
56° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
61° 42°
±4°

Foggy Bottom is a small town of about 22,000 people in District of Columbia (DC), sitting at 38.9°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Foggy Bottom with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Georgetown, Rosslyn, Golden Triangle.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Foggy Bottom has changed since 1995

Foggy Bottom sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Washington. That square ran 2.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Washington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°65° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°69° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°66° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°61° to 65°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Foggy Bottom

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Foggy Bottom today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Foggy Bottom today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Foggy Bottom today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Foggy Bottom on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Foggy Bottom?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Foggy Bottom forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

Nearby

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