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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Dupont Circle weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Dupont Circle today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

62°43°
65°45°
69°46°
68°52°
63°48°
69°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
48°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Dupont Circle: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Clear · European (ECMWF): 48° Clear.

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Dupont Circle weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dupont Circle…

Dupont Circle weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dupont Circle swings 59°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 128 days a year at 77°F or above, 56 of them at 86°F or above, 68 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
May
42 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Warm days
128 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
68 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
132 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dupont Circle’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dupont Circle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dupont Circle hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dupont Circle 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
62° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 45°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 46°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
71° 51°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
69° 51°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
66° 50°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
63° 56°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
65° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
56° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
60° 42°
±5°

Dupont Circle, District of Columbia (DC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dupont Circle right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dupont Circle climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
43°
27°
Feb
46°
27°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
65°
44°
May
73°
53°
Jun
83°
61°
Jul
86°
67°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
66°
47°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dupont Circle has changed since 1995

Dupont Circle sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Washington. That square ran 2.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Washington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°65° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°67° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°61° to 65°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dupont Circle

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dupont Circle today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Dupont Circle today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dupont Circle today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dupont Circle on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dupont Circle?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Dupont Circle forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Dupont Circle?
July is typically the warmest month in Dupont Circle, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Dupont Circle get?
The coldest month in Dupont Circle is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Dupont Circle get?
Dupont Circle sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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