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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Fairfield weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Fairfield's high today between 73° and 77°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

75°51°
73°50°
69°51°
68°48°
67°48°
67°48°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Clear
Today 74°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 47°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Fairfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fairfield…

Fairfield weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fairfield swings 49°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 40°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 133 days a year at 77°F or above, 53 of them at 86°F or above, 1 frost night, and rain on 55 days.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
113,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
133 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
1 night
a year below 32°F
Rain days
55 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fairfield’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fairfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fairfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fairfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
75° 51°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
69° 51°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 48°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
67° 48°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
64° 49°
±15°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 48°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
68° 50°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 52°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
73° 54°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 51°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 56°
±11°

Fairfield, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fairfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fairfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
59°
43°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
69°
47°
May
75°
53°
Jun
82°
57°
Jul
89°
56°
Aug
86°
57°
Sep
83°
56°
Oct
76°
51°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
56°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fairfield has changed since 1995

Fairfield sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Concord. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Concord page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fairfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°73° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree73° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°67° to 71°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±1°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°65° to 70°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fairfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fairfield today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Fairfield's high today between 73° and 77°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fairfield today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fairfield on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fairfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fairfield (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fairfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Fairfield, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Fairfield get?
The coldest month in Fairfield is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Fairfield get?
Fairfield sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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