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CheckWeather USEugene
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Eugene weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Eugene today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 67°, with a 100% chance of rain.

70°51°
67°53°
71°51°
76°48°
82°52°
81°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 50°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 54°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Light drizzle
Today 69°·Low 49°·Rain 45%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Eugene and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
67° 53°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
71° 51°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 48°
±4°
Wed
Clear
82° 52°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 55°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 51°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
74° 50°
±7°
Sun
Partly cloudy
77° 50°
±11°
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 53°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
74° 53°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 49°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
72° 50°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
72° 47°
±5°

Eugene, OR is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 33°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Eugene right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Eugene climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
35°
Feb
50°
33°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
57°
39°
May
67°
45°
Jun
76°
50°
Jul
87°
56°
Aug
85°
57°
Sep
75°
52°
Oct
64°
45°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
49°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Eugene?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F97±1.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°±41%4% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±4°65° to 69°±74%26% to 100% chance
Mon±5°68° to 73°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±4°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°79° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Eugene

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Eugene today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Eugene today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Eugene today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Eugene and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Eugene?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Eugene (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Eugene?
July is typically the warmest month in Eugene, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Eugene get?
The coldest month in Eugene is February, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Eugene get?
Eugene sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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