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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°F

Corvallis weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Corvallis's high today between 57° and 65°, a 8° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 59°, with a 75% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

61°35°
59°38°
60°46°
58°45°
57°41°
56°39°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 33°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Cloudy
Today 65°·Low 34°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Cloudy
Today 57°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
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Corvallis weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Corvallis…

Corvallis weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Corvallis swings 49°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 61 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 83 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 37 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
December
61 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
56,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
83 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
37 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
135 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Corvallis’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Corvallis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Corvallis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Corvallis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
61° 35°
±8°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
59° 38°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
60° 46°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
58° 45°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
57° 41°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
56° 39°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
56° 36°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
55° 35°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
57° 35°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
58° 39°
±11°
Tue
Clear
61° 42°
±10°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
55° 42°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
59° 50°
±6°

Corvallis, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 61 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Corvallis right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Corvallis climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
46°
34°
Feb
50°
35°
Mar
55°
38°
Apr
58°
41°
May
67°
45°
Jun
74°
49°
Jul
83°
54°
Aug
82°
55°
Sep
74°
52°
Oct
62°
44°
Nov
51°
40°
Dec
45°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Corvallis' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°F

Around Corvallis, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2015.

1995: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average1998: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2004: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2015: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

5 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −6 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: −7 vs the 30-year average1998: −3 vs the 30-year average1999: −5 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +0 vs the 30-year average2003: +7 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: +0 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: −2 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: +3 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: −4 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: −6 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: +7 vs the 30-year average2016: +5 vs the 30-year average2017: +6 vs the 30-year average2018: −1 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: +8 vs the 30-year average2022: +0 vs the 30-year average2023: +5 vs the 30-year average2024: +6 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

4 more nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2 vs the 30-year average1996: −12 vs the 30-year average1997: +14 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −9 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −2 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: −10 vs the 30-year average2004: −16 vs the 30-year average2005: +4 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: +17 vs the 30-year average2008: +20 vs the 30-year average2009: +22 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: +16 vs the 30-year average2012: +12 vs the 30-year average2013: +13 vs the 30-year average2014: −13 vs the 30-year average2015: −14 vs the 30-year average2016: −8 vs the 30-year average2017: −0 vs the 30-year average2018: −7 vs the 30-year average2019: +15 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: +10 vs the 30-year average2023: +12 vs the 30-year average2024: −19 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: −7% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: −3% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: −3% vs the 30-year average2008: −3% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: −7% vs the 30-year average2014: +5% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: +5% vs the 30-year average2017: +5% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −7% vs the 30-year average2020: −3% vs the 30-year average2021: +5% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: +5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.7°F−6−2+5%
1996−0.4°F−1−12+5%
1997+0.2°F−7+14−3%
1998−0.2°F−3−14+1%
1999−1.1°F−5−9+5%
2000−0.7°F−6−6−7%
2001−0.6°F−3−2−3%
2002−0.2°F+0+4+1%
2003+0.9°F+7−10+1%
2004+1.1°F+1−16−3%
2005+0.3°F+0+4−3%
2006−0.2°F+5−0+5%
2007−0.9°F−2+17−3%
2008−1.8°F−1+20−3%
2009−0.9°F+3+22+1%
2010−0.7°F−4−10+1%
2011−2.0°F−4+16+1%
2012−1.1°F−5+12+1%
2013−1.1°F−6+13−7%
2014+1.8°F+3−13+5%
2015+2.3°F+7−14−3%
2016+1.2°F+5−8+5%
2017±0.0°F+6−0+5%
2018+0.7°F−1−7−3%
2019−0.2°F−3+15−7%
2020+0.3°F+1+1−3%
2021+0.5°F+8−4+5%
2022+0.2°F+0+10−3%
2023+0.7°F+5+12+1%
2024+1.1°F+6−19+5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Corvallis, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Corvallis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°57° to 65°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±9°55° to 64°±36%39% to 75% chance
Mon±9°56° to 65°±2%72% to 74% chance
Tue±5°55° to 60°±10%17% to 27% chance
Wed±2°56° to 58°±17%18% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Corvallis

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
10h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Corvallis today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Corvallis's high today between 57° and 65°, a 8° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 59°, with a 75% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Corvallis today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Corvallis on Sunday, October 25: NWS 75%, American 75%, European 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Corvallis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Corvallis (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Corvallis?
July is typically the warmest month in Corvallis, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Corvallis get?
The coldest month in Corvallis is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Corvallis get?
Corvallis sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Corvallis getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Corvallis, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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