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CheckWeather US›Vermont›Essex Junction
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Essex Junction weather

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Partly cloudy,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in Essex Junction today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 60°, with a 0% chance of rain.

55°31°
60°36°
57°40°
44°30°
49°28°
59°36°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Partly cloudy
Today 56°·Low 28°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Cloudy
Today 55°·Low 33°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Clear
Today 55°·Low 31°·Rain 0%
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Essex Junction weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Essex Junction weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Essex Junction swings 64°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 13°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
13°F average low
Wettest month
July
46 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Essex Junction and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Essex Junction hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Essex Junction 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
55° 31°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
60° 36°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
57° 40°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
44° 30°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
49° 28°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
59° 36°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
58° 45°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
55° 40°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
60° 41°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
57° 45°
±22°
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 41°
±8°
Wed
Snow showers
44° 34°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
47° 30°
models agree

Essex Junction, Vermont (VT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 13°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Essex Junction right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Essex Junction climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
31°
13°
Mar
38°
24°
Apr
53°
35°
May
66°
47°
Jun
74°
57°
Jul
77°
62°
Aug
76°
62°
Sep
69°
53°
Oct
56°
43°
Nov
44°
32°
Dec
32°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Essex Junction has changed since 1995

Essex Junction sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Burlington. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Burlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°55° to 56°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°60° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°55° to 59°±28%3% to 31% chance
Tue±3°42° to 45°±1%3% to 4% chance
Wed±4°47° to 51°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Essex Junction

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Essex Junction today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in Essex Junction today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 60°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Essex Junction today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Essex Junction on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Essex Junction?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Essex Junction forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Essex Junction?
July is typically the warmest month in Essex Junction, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Essex Junction get?
The coldest month in Essex Junction is February, when overnight lows average about 13°F.
How much rain does Essex Junction get?
Essex Junction sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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