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CheckWeather US›Vermont›Colchester
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Colchester weather

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Partly cloudy,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in Colchester today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 60°, with a 0% chance of rain.

55°32°
60°38°
57°40°
44°30°
49°29°
59°37°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
40°
Mainly clear
Feels 36° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
36°
Clear
Feels 30° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
39°
Clear
Feels 34° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 60%

Latest for Colchester: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 40° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 36° Clear · European (ECMWF): 39° Clear.

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Colchester weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Colchester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Colchester hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Colchester 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
55° 32°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
60° 38°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
57° 40°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
44° 30°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
49° 29°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
59° 37°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
59° 45°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
56° 40°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
60° 42°
±11°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
57° 46°
±24°
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 41°
±8°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
44° 35°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
46° 31°
models agree

Colchester is a small town of about 17,000 people in Vermont (VT), sitting at 44.5°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Colchester with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Winooski, Essex Junction, South Burlington.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Colchester has changed since 1995

Colchester sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Burlington. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Burlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°54° to 55°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°60° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°55° to 58°±29%2% to 31% chance
Tue±3°43° to 45°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±2°48° to 51°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Colchester

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Colchester today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in Colchester today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 60°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Colchester today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Colchester on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Colchester?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Colchester forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

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