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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Elmhurst weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Elmhurst's high today between 66° and 71°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain.

69°50°
72°51°
64°53°
66°52°
72°55°
71°56°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 50°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 49°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 50°·Rain 0%
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Elmhurst weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Elmhurst weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Elmhurst swings 65°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 96 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 116 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
August
43 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
46,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
96 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
116 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
131 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Elmhurst’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elmhurst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elmhurst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elmhurst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69° 50°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 51°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
66° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 56°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 54°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 56°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
65° 55°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 45°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
47° 42°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
52° 42°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 44°
±12°

Elmhurst, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elmhurst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elmhurst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
17°
Feb
37°
19°
Mar
46°
29°
Apr
58°
38°
May
69°
46°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
81°
62°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
61°
43°
Nov
46°
32°
Dec
35°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Elmhurst has changed since 1995

Elmhurst sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Aurora. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Aurora page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Elmhurst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.8 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°66° to 71°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±6°69° to 75°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±3°63° to 66°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±4°63° to 67°±23%1% to 24% chance
Wed±3°70° to 73°±16%6% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elmhurst

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elmhurst today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Elmhurst's high today between 66° and 71°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Elmhurst today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Elmhurst on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 3% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elmhurst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elmhurst (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elmhurst?
July is typically the warmest month in Elmhurst, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Elmhurst get?
The coldest month in Elmhurst is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Elmhurst get?
Elmhurst sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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