Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USElmhurst
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Elmhurst weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Elmhurst today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

81°71°
78°67°
78°62°
86°64°
83°72°
80°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Showers
Today 81°·Low 73°·Rain 30%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Light drizzle
Today 83°·Low 72°·Rain 30%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elmhurst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
81° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 67°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
78° 62°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
86° 64°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 72°
±11°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 66°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 62°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
86° 68°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
80° 66°
±7°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
72° 61°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
70° 57°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 54°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 57°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
75° 60°
±6°

Elmhurst, IL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elmhurst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elmhurst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
21°
Feb
44°
26°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
60°
40°
May
72°
49°
Jun
81°
60°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elmhurst?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F93±2.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°80° to 83°±13%30% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°76° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°85° to 87°±6%1% to 7% chance
Wed±11°76° to 88°±24%35% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elmhurst

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elmhurst today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elmhurst today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elmhurst today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elmhurst and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elmhurst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elmhurst (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elmhurst?
July is typically the warmest month in Elmhurst, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Elmhurst get?
The coldest month in Elmhurst is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Elmhurst get?
Elmhurst sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather