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Every US forecast, compared
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CheckWeather USDuluth
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Duluth weather

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Fog,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Duluth today. Tomorrow looks fog around 74°, with a 10% chance of rain.

68°61°
74°61°
74°64°
82°65°
74°62°
76°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Fog
Today 69°·Low 61°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Fog
Today 66°·Low 61°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 62°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Duluth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Fog
68° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
74° 61°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
74° 64°
±7°
Tue
Showers
82° 65°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
74° 62°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
76° 57°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±8°
Sat
Drizzle
71° 58°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
62° 54°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
65° 51°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 51°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 53°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
69° 55°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
66° 57°
±5°

Duluth, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Duluth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Duluth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
32°
16°
Mar
36°
22°
Apr
47°
32°
May
62°
45°
Jun
72°
55°
Jul
78°
61°
Aug
76°
61°
Sep
73°
58°
Oct
57°
45°
Nov
41°
30°
Dec
32°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Duluth?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F92±2.4 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°66° to 69°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 76°±2%8% to 10% chance
Mon±7°71° to 78°±2%61% to 63% chance
Tue±6°80° to 85°±10%90% to 100% chance
Wed±9°70° to 80°±11%16% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Duluth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Duluth today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Duluth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Duluth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Duluth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Duluth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Duluth (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Duluth?
July is typically the warmest month in Duluth, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Duluth get?
The coldest month in Duluth is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Duluth get?
Duluth sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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